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Strengthening Environmental Foresight: Potential Contributions of Futures Research

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❶The ethics of forecasting certainly involves the obligation to create desirable futures for the person s that might be affected by the forecast. Researchers may move to the empathy and often exciting areas of Quadrant 2, and may go hence to Quadrant 3.

INTRODUCTION

An Overview of Forecasting Methodology
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Futures research can be defined as a systematic study of possible future events and circumstances. Futures research is different from forecasting in a way that the former has a forward orientation and looks ahead, rather that backwards, and is not as mathematical as forecasting.

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Futures Research Methodology Version is the largest, most comprehensive collection of internationally peer-reviewed handbook on methods and tools to explore future possibilities ever assembled in one resource.

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The largest, most comprehensive collection of internationally peer-reviewed handbook on methods and tools to explore future possibilities ever assembled in one resource. Over half of the chapters were written by the inventor of the method or by a significant contributor to the method’s evolution. All chapters are presented in an MsWord .doc) Futures Research Methodology Version is the largest, most comprehensive collection of internationally peer-reviewed handbook on methods and tools to explore future possibilities ever assembled in one resource in history/5(2).

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FUTURES RESEARCH: FORECASTING AND SCENARIOS Introduction Each edition of the Yearbook includes a chapter that explores methodological approaches to global civil society from different social science perspectives. ESSAYS Views on futures research methodology Roy Amara Roy Amara identifies new directions for futures research methodology. Emphasis is placed on validation and quality criteria for futures studies, and a set of initial criteria is outlinedlausibility, reproducibility, and explicitness of values and impacts.